Guns good? Depends on what you believe. Guns dangerous? No question.

People like guns.

People hate guns.

People are scared of guns.

Guns are good for sport, like hunting animals.

Guns are good for war.

Guns are good for self-protection, in case “they” come for you.

Guns are good for going out and killing other people because:

·        They might otherwise come for you.

·        They are bad people because they are:

o   The wrong religion.

o   The wrong race or ethnicity.

o   Believe in abortion.

o   Are liberals.

o   Support restrictions on guns.

Guns are bad because they can be and are used for all of the reasons above.

Whether guns or good or bad or dangerous or not is irrelevant because “Second Amendment”.

If you like, substitute “automatic rifles” for guns in all or any of the above.

All the above are true.

There are definitely people who are terrified that “they” will be coming for them.  “They” could be the government (except when the government is on their side), or they could be, you know, “them”, the other.

Probably not for deer hunting; 30 or 40 rounds of high-power automatic rifle fire can really tear up the meat.

It could be post-apocalyptic, where they are, like Mad Max, fighting for survival. They believe that they need thousands of rounds of ammunition for all their guns (after all, ammo stores might not be open after the apocalypse) and high-capacity, high-speed automatic weapons are going to be more effective in protecting themselves and their families from, well, whatever.

Zombies. Or “them”.

If you believe this stuff, and your social circle and the sites that you frequent on the Internet completely reinforce these beliefs, there is no reason to doubt that it is true. Even if you used to not believe them. (Remember, perfectly rational people from the Midwest have moved to California and, after some time being among only Californians, have come to think that it is normative to believe in the healing power of crystals.)

If you do not believe this stuff, and your social circle and the sites that you frequent on the Internet completely reinforce your non-belief, you become convinced that the folks that do are both crazy and deluded. Which they may be.

If you think that these people watch too many movies and zombie TV shows, you’re right; the most important FACT is that there will be a much more limited number of people who are alive to duke it out after a nuclear war; let’s see, after nuclear winter, roughly ZERO!

If you think that there is a certain cognitive dissonance in thinking that people on the left are pansy snowflakes and also fearing that they’ll be coming after the heavily armed folks with the fears, you’re right, but so what?

Total logical contradictions have never been a problem for them in the past (see, e.g., “Donald Trump – Christian”).

There are a lot of folks in the “I need more guns and ammo” camp who are strongly opposed to mass murder, although there are pretty many (including in Congress) who are able to make arguments (sure, weird syllogisms, but hey…) defending folks who go to peaceful demonstrations with loaded weapons looking for other people to shoot. Charlottesville? Kenosha?

It is a “prevent defense”, I guess. There are even more who are opposed to slaughtering children in school (hardly anyone comes out specifically in favor of that), but are 100% against any proposal that might make it more unlikely.

Because, you know, if you make psychotic minors unable to purchase an AR-15 without a waiting period, the next thing will be government agents confiscating your deer rifle. Or Uzi.

No one is in favor of school shootings, but we have them almost every day. In every state. We look at the news, open the paper, hear our phones ding, and we see the newest one. And our Congress, and our state legislatures, all of whom are against school shootings, can’t seem to do anything to prevent them. Even though we – and they – know exactly what would do it.

Make guns very hard to get. Especially for young people. The brain does not fully mature until at least the mid-20s and the last part to develop is the frontal cortex where executive function and judgement reside.

Especially for automatic weapons.  Especially with those with histories of violence. Yes, crazies but mainly not them. Mostly those who have or have threatened to use violence. You see, shooting people, especially lots of people, that may or may not be crazy, but it is for sure violence. Any abuser of any kind, any barroom brawler, anyone who threatens violence.

But of course they won’t. Maybe because it would lose them votes, or maybe they just believe the same things. Maybe they believe their own stories.

But, you know, you can kill people with a knife. Or a baseball bat. Or a garotte. Of course, it is not easy to kill a whole lot of people from 100 feet away with any of those.

I would be remiss to not mention suicide. They constitute the majority of gun deaths. Yes, suicide is an individual’s choice, but it is not necessarily an unchangeable choice. The “successful” suicide rate among teens and young adult males 16-24 is TEN TIMES higher in the states with the loosest gun laws as in those with the most restrictive. Are young men in, say, Montana more depressed than those in, say, Connecticut? I don’t know, but suicide attempts, especially in young people, are very often impulsive, and the easy availability of a gun makes that impulse easier to follow. And attempts at suicide by gun are much more likely to be “successful” (called lethality) than those by poison, or gas, or hitting yourself on the head with  brick. 

In the US it is often people in poor and minority communities who suffer the most random death. But it is older white men who commit suicide most. Often with guns that they had right there.

If you think we should make guns, especially automatic weapons, less easily available, especially to those most likely to use them for killing people, great. But lots of others do not agree. Of course, they include those most likely to use them for killing people.

 

The rest of the wealthy world could provide an example of what to do, but you know what? They are not Americans. A number of countries have higher gun-death rates than the US, mostly those at war (e.g., Ukraine) or in the midst of narco terrorism. We are not.

But we have a lot of guns, and that helps us make up the difference.

More important than our circadian rhythm: Creating a society that is safe and has health care for all

The New York Times, in addition to covering world and local news, has a lot of “feature” type news, generally appealing to educated, urban, and often higher income people, especially in New York, who are a large percent of its readers. Obviously its Arts coverage reflects the enormous NY arts scene, but also frequently seems to be more in-depth, designed to appeal to an even smaller group. Similarly, while its health coverage often includes news and opinion pieces on the social inequities in health care, on community risks (such as gun violence), and on policy issues, it also includes pieces aimed at what might be called “individual health self improvement”, sometimes involving new(ish) research.

An example is the recent front-page piece on “Circadian Medicine”, that reports on research about following our “body clocks” to get the greatest health benefits from how we do things like eat, exercise, etc. It starts with a look at the effort to move toward permanent daylight savings time and how this affects our personal and work lives.  Of course, this is ultimately a sociocultural issue; the amount of light and dark each day is unchanged, but the question is when our particular area decides to do things. Farmers and ranchers, for example, do not work based upon the time it says on the clock. If we wanted to, we could work from 9 to 6 instead of 8 to 5 rather than changing the clocks.

What is actually more important about this piece, to me, is that it goes on to emphasize how individuals can (possibly) improve their health by choosing the correct time of day to do their health-inducing activities. It is thus yet another effort to look at what each of us can (provided we have the education, autonomy, money, and time) do to make our individual selves healthier. Maybe. Such emphasis is not wrong per se (except, of course, when it is wrong, as has been, for example, our obsession with taking vitamin supplements when we are not vitamin deficient, as see F. Perry Wilson on Medscape, “It’s official: vitamins don’t do much for health”). The real issue is that it is a distractor, in that it focuses upon something that is perhaps slightly beneficial for some people (or not) but will not have a major impact upon the health of the public or the populace, taking our attention away from focusing on the very many major serious things that do have a significant effect upon the health of the public, and that we, as a people, could do something about.

 Like what? Let’s start with some data that should be scary: Among wealthy countries, the US is the only one that has seen a leveling-off and decrease in life expectancy, as reported by “Our world in data”. I have reported on this trend several times previously (Lower life expectancy in the US: A reflection of racism, classism, and social inequity April 29, 2022, Decreasing life expectancy in the US: A result of policies fostering increasing inequity, November 29, 2019) and examined some of the various proposed explanations. Case and Deaton, among others, suggest that the increase in the death rate (particularly among less affluent whites) are “deaths of despair”, mediated through the use of substances (alcohol, tobacco, opioids and other drugs). No doubt these are major contributors, but there are also others. One that has many people very concerned, as it should, is the ubiquity of gun violence in the US. This is a major contributor to death rates in populations such as young males, where suicide and homicide are very important causes of mortality. Most of us can reel off the names associated with major episodes of mass shootings, especially school shootings like Columbine, Sandy Hook, and Uvalde, but these are the tip of the iceberg. An interactive story in the Times documents the 63 “mass shootings” (four or more people shot) in May 2022 alone, and there were 65 in June, and 25 in July -- and as of only July 8 when this was published! And this does not count the many more deaths where “only” one to three people were killed! In the wake of Buffalo and Uvalde, Congress finally passed a very weak gun law. It did break an impasse, but in the minimal amount of restriction it places on gun ownership and carrying, it reinforces the idea that “America is a gun”, as in Brian Bilston’s poem. Any other country with only one major mass shooting has reacted much more dramatically and effectively. While articles continue to appear, such as the Op-Ed of Patti Davis describing the reaction (in her) and lack of reaction (in the nation) to the shooting of her father, Ronald Reagan, 41 years ago, we still are in thrall to the gun lobby and to folks who truly believe that they are at risk if they don’t have and carry guns that they make it easy for those who are going to create major violence and death.

And what about when we get sick? We – Americans – are as a group less able to access care than people in those other countries because we don’t have universal health insurance or access. Dr. Aaron Carroll, in an Op-Ed on July 7, emphasizes the impact of health insurance deductibles, noting that it is not just the uninsured but the underinsured, for whom deductibles are a major obstacle (along with other inappropriately-designed out-of-pocket payments) who suffer from not being able to access medical care, especially in time. The numbers that he cites for deductibles, and for co-payments and co-insurance, are amazingly high, as is the impact that it has on the health of those affected. For example, “The good news is that the A.C.A. limits these [out-of-pocket expenses] in plans sold in the exchanges. The bad news is that they’re astronomical: $8,700 for an individual and $17,400 for a family,” and for people in Medicare drug plans “a simple $10 increase in cost-sharing, which many would consider a small amount of money, led to about a 23% decrease in drug consumption.”

The fact that it is the Medicare drug plan (Part D) that is cited here is not coincidental; it, along with both Medicare Advantage (Part C) and the newer REACH (formerly DCE) program implemented by CMS (the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services) are the portions of the Medicare program focused on providing profit to investor-owned companies rather than health care to American seniors. A recent report by the Urban Institute on Geographic Predictors of Medical Debt, in Health Justice Monitor, shows, unsurprisingly, that those areas with the highest concentration of poor, uninsured and underinsured people, and people with chronic diseases have the highest level of debt. And the lowest level? Those areas with the highest concentrations of people over 65. This, of course, is the only part of the general US civilian population that has essentially universal health insurance, despite the efforts of the programs above to decrease or dilute it. Although this seems worth mentioning, the Urban Institute did not; maybe they thought it was obvious.

But in this country nothing is obvious to most people and needs to be pointed out.  This includes our legislators, federal and state, to whom often the only thing that seems obvious is who is contributing to them. With all respect, we need to be focusing less upon our body clocks and circadian rhythm and more on the things that made a real difference in our nation’s health.

We need to decrease the availability of semi-automatic guns with high-capacity magazines. We need government policy focused upon creating well-paid, good-benefit jobs that will decrease “deaths of despair” rather than maximizing corporate profit. And we need high-quality universal coverage and access to health care for all our people. What we do not need are more programs like Medicare Advantage, Medicare Part D, and REACH that channel public tax dollars to private enterprises as profit.

What we do need, we needed long ago, and we need it now.

Why don't we spend more on public health? It is harder to see the bullets we dodged -- and then there is profit.

“It Saves Lives. It Can Save Money. So Why Aren’t We Spending More on Public Health?”  (New York Times, May 28, 2018). Actually, this is a terrific question. As so often, it is complicated. Let’s start with the benefits that authors Aaron E. Carroll and Austin Frakt describe. First, there are vaccines. They eliminated smallpox and virtually eliminated polio in the United States. They have dramatically reduced the rate of common childhood illnesses including measles, mumps, rubella, chicken pox, and Hemophilus influenza (H. flu) infection. They have the potential for essentially wiping out cervical cancer through immunization against HPV, and liver cancer (as well as many forms of chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis) through vaccines against Hepatitis B.

A huge public health intervention is making our environment safer. This means having good sewage and clean water, and lead-free gasoline and cleaner air. These changes have saved far more lives, and improved health much more, than all of the individual medical care interventions combined. If you have traveled abroad, especially to less developed countries, you know how important these are. Indeed, better sanitation, as well as better surveillance and treatment, have dramatically reduced other infectious diseases that were once terribly feared, notably tuberculosis. And inspection of our food supply, restaurant and otherwise, are another very important part of public health.

The other big public health measure is education. Of course, education can be and is provided to individuals by health professionals as well as populations via public service education, but it is major nationwide public health efforts that have made a big difference. These include the huge decrease in cigarette smoking, and the greater safety of automobiles and their exhausts. Cigarette smoking used to be ubiquitous (see any WW2 movie) and in what would shock young Americans today, widely practiced in restaurants and even college lecture halls. Today that is unimaginable, and smoking in most places is aberrant, with less than 15% of adults currently smoking and most of those trying to quit. Car accidents are still a major cause of death and injury, but deaths from cars are way down. Almost none of this is related to people driving more safely and almost all of it to safer design of cars (think seat belts, air bags, engines that collapse down instead of back in a collision) and roads. Lead poisoning of children is way down in most places in the US thanks to lead being banned from gasoline and paint.

There are still many challenges on the public health front. Reducing the rate of chronic diseases though education around eating huge numbers of empty calories still have a long way to go. The terrible infectious disease epidemic of recent decades, HIV, has been greatly reduced by treatment, but until there is a vaccine, high-risk sexual behaviors persist. The opioid epidemic is killing more and more people, and it is only through societal approaches that this is going to be reduced.

The epidemic of gun death is not abating; many studies and articles in the press have recently discussed the increase in the suicide rate, often prompted by recent high-profile suicides such as those of Kate Spade and Anthony Bourdain (How Suicide Quietly Morphed Into a Public Health Crisis; 5 Takeaways on America’s Increasing Suicide Rate, ). While neither Spade or Bourdain used a gun, guns are the cause of death in at least half of suicides, and suicide far exceeds homicide in terms of numbers of gun deaths. Those who believe it is not the availability of guns that causes deaths from both causes, and other methods could be used to kill oneself or others, are simply wrong. Easy availability of guns, far more effective and efficient at killing oneself or others than any other method, absolutely has been demonstrated to increase both homicide and suicide. Suicide by gun is over 90% effective; by drugs less than 5%. “Successful” suicide rates are far higher in high gun states (e.g., Montana) than in low-gun states (e.g., Massachusetts). Homicides are also more common where guns are at hand. And, in regard to school and other mass shootings, while you can kill someone with a knife or a baseball bat, but it is hard to commit mass murder with them.

So, why do we not spend more on public health? Why do we spend so much more on what is, from a societal point of view, much less effective individual health interventions, and less than 5% of that on public health? One reason, of course, is that when each of us is sick, we (usually) want treatment, as much as possible, especially if there is a chance that it could cure us, or at least ease our suffering. This is understandable, and it is tied to the fact that we have much greater awareness of treatment of something ailing us (curing our infection, relieving our pain) than of not having disease because of the presence of public health practices. As I would tell students, how often do we wake up thankful that we do not have cholera because we have a clean water supply? Indeed, when we find that the water in Flint, MI, is contaminated with lead, we are shocked because we assume our water is safe; when we find an E. coli outbreak from a restaurant, we are shocked because we assume our food is safe.

There is also, unsurprisingly, the issue of the money that to be made. The provision of public health is rarely a big profit center, and it is usually, therefore, done by government – local, state, and federal. Individual health care, however, is a huge money-maker for insurance companies, hospitals, doctors, pharmaceutical and device manufacturers, nursing home companies, and on and on. All that money – over $3.3 TRILLION by recent estimate -- spent on your and other individuals, while it may (or may not) have a salubrious impact on you, is going into someone’s pocket. On the flip side, public health interventions often reduce profit, especially when they are very effective. The struggle against tobacco, which killed more people than any other cause by far, was fought long and hard by the tobacco companies (currently now plying their wares in the less-developed world).Each of the changes to cars that led to the great increases in safety was fought by the industry. Today, we continue to see tremendous opposition to rules that make our environment (air, water) clean and safe; sadly, under the current administration, many of these rules are being rolled back, which will absolutely decrease our society’s health.

I guess I also need to address the people who believe that vaccines are unsafe. They are a major threat, and presumably haven’t seen children dying of measles, of the suffering of chicken pox and mumps, of the morbidity from H. flu infections of the middle ear (my students have never seen it!) or deaths from H. flu epiglottitis. Yes, there can be minor side effects from some vaccines, but the benefit is overwhelming.

Finally, as always finally, it is the poor and disenfranchised who suffer the worst. While sometimes we have the perverse satisfaction of outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases in well-to-do communities, anti-vaxxers unconscionably campaign in immigrant/refugee communities telling people to not vaccinate their children. The poor and minority city of Flint suffers a poisoned water supply. The oldest, cheapest houses are likeliest to have peeling lead paint and be located near polluting factories and dumps. Tobacco and junk food manufacturers advertise most heavily in minority neighborhoods. And, of course, the murder rate is highest in poor and minority communities.

Good medical care for individuals is valuable when it is needed, and could be less expensive. Public health measures are even more valuable and cost-effective. We need to increase the money and effort spent upon public health interventions, and certainly not scale them back.

Benjamin Franklin said an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure. It’s true, and is a great argument for greater investment in public health.

Health status in the United States and State Health Performance: The Commonwealth Fund report and potential solutions

The Commonwealth Fund has recently issued its 2018 Scorecard on State Health System Performance. This scorecard has data for each state (+ DC, so 51 spots), measuring performance against a variety of metrics evaluating access to health care, quality of care, efficiency in care delivery, health outcomes, and income-based health care disparities. Because the Scorecard has been issued 2013, Commonwealth can compare the current year’s rankings and performance to previous ones, seeing how states get better (or worse) on these individual measures as well as on overall performance.  

There is not much change. The Top 5 in performance remain Hawaii, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Vermont, and Utah, in the same order as last year. The Bottom 5 (47-51) are Arkansas, Florida, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Mississippi, and are close to the same, the only change being Florida dropping 5 spots to join the group and displacing West Virginia, now at 46. Hawaii at the top and Mississippi at the bottom are not only unchanged, but remain far ahead or behind of their nearest competitor. The top regions are still the Northeast and Upper Midwest, with the West dragged up by Hawaii and Utah but otherwise an average to low average group.

Commonwealth also ranks the states on degree of improvement of their scores in each of 43 different indicators. More indicators improved than went down, which in itself is a good thing, but there are a lot of caveats. For one thing, it doesn’t measure amount of improvement, or how much less a state might have improved compared to others. For example, Oklahoma joins the list of the top 5 states with improvement on the most indicators (17, to rank it #4), and yet dropped two places in the overall ranking, from a dismal 48 to 50^th! This is not good. More important, however, were the areas in which indicators fell for many states and for the nation as a whole. This include rising death rates (a really big one!), including a 50% increase in deaths from suicide, alcohol, and drug use since 2005, rising obesity, and gaps in care with a rising disparity between and within states.

Many of the improvements are in areas that have been focal points of public health policy, like decreasing smoking. This is good, but this long-time-coming advance over the tobacco industry’s heavily funded effort to get people to continue to smoke, and young people to take it up, has still not been entirely won. More important, the lessons from the anti-tobacco campaign have not yet transferred to the other well-funded high-profit threats to health, notably sugar and guns, as well as alcohol and pharmaceuticals. Unfortunately, each of these struggles seems to need to rise up almost as if the others hadn’t been joined; activists can and do learn from the previous ones, but so do industries that manufacture unhealthful commodities. These industries replicate the strategies that tobacco used to delay change for so long. The main one, of course, is the liberal application of money to politicians. The same lobbyists who worked for tobacco work for sugar, and guns, and alcohol; the color of their money is still green, and politicians still enjoy receiving it.

While it is true that many politicians from both major parties have been recipients of such largesse, the retreat from reality-based policy that is the hallmark of both the Trump administration and the Republican Party in Congress has major impact on the causes of illness and will continue to do so into the future. One good example of the latter is the aggressive retreat from environmental regulation, personified by EPA administrator Scott Pruitt, rolling back auto-pollution emissions standards (a decision currently being challenged by a coalition of states led by California). Another is the firm resistance to common-sense regulation of guns, which result in over 30,000 US deaths a year, a tiny fraction of which are from foreign terrorists. Limitations on semi-automatic weapons and high-capacity magazines, waiting periods and background checks, absolutely would decrease the number of these deaths (the majority, by the way, are suicides), but are blocked by legislators feeding from the gun-industry funded NRA trough.

Not only politicians are recipients of graft; a recent New York Times exposé provides evidence of pharmaceutical companies using ostensible “speaker’s fees” to actual provide kickback payments to physicians who are big prescribers of their drugs. The article emphasizes payments to doctors who practice pain medicine and are in a position to prescribe large amounts of the opioids manufactured by these companies. Sadly, this is almost as unsurprising as the graft going to politicians to compromise our health. What we should be is outraged about it, and working to combat it. Certainly the politicians do not seem to be. In the conclusion to her “controversial” speech at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner Michelle Wolf noted that: “Flint still doesn’t have clean drinking water.” It is harsh, it is true, and it is almost as bad as the news that the government of Michigan will no longer be providing free bottled water, even though the tap water is still unsafe.

Flint, of course, is a majority minority and overwhelmingly poor city. It has long been clear that its struggles with lead-poisoned water is not coincidental with the makeup of its population, and it not a coincidence that it is in Michigan. The Commonwealth Report illustrates a wide divide between those states that have better and those that have worse health status. Largely, the map is geographic with northern states better and southern states worse, but there is a tongue of northern states in the worse group, heading up from Kentucky and West Virginia into Indiana, Ohio, and on up to Michigan. What these states have in common with most of those in the south is control by Republicans who in most cases have not, in most cases, expanded Medicaid for their citizens. Expansion of Medicaid was a central part of the Affordable Care Act, but a Supreme Court left the decision on whether to do so optional for the states; those that have not done so have worse population health status. This is exacerbated by changes in federal policy that have increasingly made access to health care worse and more expensive in most states, with the impact felt most in states that have elected Republican government and that voted for President Trump.

In another blog post, First Look at Health Insurance Coverage in 2018 Finds ACA Gains Beginning to Reverse, the Commonwealth Fund notes that*:

·        About 4 million working-age people have lost insurance coverage since 2016

·        The uninsured rates among lower-income adults rose from 20.9 percent in 2016 to 25.7 percent in March 2018

·        The uninsured rate among working-age adults increased to 15.5 percent

·        The uninsured rate among adults in states that did not expand Medicaid rose to 21.9 percent

·        The uninsured rate increased among adults age 35 and older

·        The uninsured rate among adults who identify as Republicans is higher compared to 2016

·        The uninsured rate remains highest in southern states

·        Five percent of insured adults plan to drop insurance because of the individual mandate repeal

This is also not good news. Much of the problem is because employer health insurance costs (much of it passed on to workers) have been rising as Medicare and Medicaid control costs. A Washington Monthly article (excerpted by the great Don McCanne in his Quote of the Day) calls for price controls, noting that much of the cost (in lower wages) that workers bear for higher health insurance is not obvious to them, and they would thus have sticker shock from a Medicare for All program. Dr. McCanne notes that a current California bill, AB 3087, calls for price controls, and is supported by unions but opposed by industry and the California Medical Association so it has little chance of passage, suggesting that this solution is not more palatable to the powerful. He calls for well-thought out Medicare for All program, saying:

Now would it be that difficult to let people know about the hidden costs of health care that they are already paying? Do people really prefer being kept in the dark by an opaque financing system rather than being enlightened by the transparency of financing through an equitable tax system, especially if the amount being spent is somewhat less for all but the wealthiest of us?

I do not think so. It is time to do something to change a status quo that is unacceptable for the health of so many as well as unaffordable. It is time to do the right thing.

*Also summarized by Dr. McCanne

Killing our children: Guns, mortality and morality

There is really nothing to write about at this time other than the ongoing carnage in our nation as a result of angry young men (always men!) shooting up their schools, most recently (at least at the time of this writing) with the death of 17 students and teachers at Marjory Stoneman Douglas HS in Parkland, FL. It is hard to write through the tears. This should not be going on. Many people have written pieces on the subject -- sad, or angry, or articulate, or all of these. One of the most moving appeared in the New York Times on February 18, 2018, by a man named Gregory Gibson whose son was killed in a school shooting 25 years ago. The online headline, “A message from the club no one wants to join”, is different from, and in this case is much weaker than, the print headline: “Why wasn’t my son the last victim?”

Why indeed? Twenty-five years ago. And since then, countless school shootings, and other mass murders (such as, if we needed reminders, the Las Vegas country music concert, the Pulse nightclub in Orlando and the First Baptist Church of Sutherland Springs, TX) have occurred, and every parent, every family member, wants to know why the most recent prior child to die was not the last, instead of their child. People are terrified; a friend, a rational physician, embarrassedly admits to looking online for Kevlar backpacks for his children. He does international “mission” work and is taking his 14-year old daughter to Africa; when people ask him if he is worried about her safety there, he says “no”, but he is worried about her safety attending school two miles from his home in an affluent suburban community in the US. His day job includes being a leader for the quality program in his hospital, where he searches the actual data for root and contributing causes to problems; he wonders why this country cannot do the same for gun violence. Arizona Star columnist Dave Fitzsimmons expresses similar fears for his children.

This country could, but so far it shows no sign of doing so. Gibson quotes the author Chester Himes commenting on the lynching of 14-year old Emmett Till in 1955 that “The real horror comes when your dead brain must face the fact that we as a nation don’t want it to stop.” Himes was talking about lynching, but it is clear that the same can be said today, more than 60 years later, about school shootings. We don’t want it to stop. Because, if we did, we would do something about it.

Of course, we do, most of us. Various surveys, asking the question in different ways, find different percentages, but always large majorities, of Americans want stricter gun laws, often up to 90%. Even most people who are members of the NRA and/or are registered Republicans want limitations on who can buy guns based on mental illness and other criteria (always “me, and people like me”, but not the people like you) and some kinds of guns or gun modifiers (like “bump stocks”, used by the Las Vegas shooter to turn his AR-15 semi-automatic – and by the way almost all these shootings involve AR-15s) and armor-piercing bullets. No, the “we” who don’t want to stop it, in this case is, beyond a small minority of zealots, the even smaller minority of those who are politicians, in Congress, in the Executive Branch, and in our statehouses.

Why would they do this? Or, rather, not do anything about gun violence? Well, there is a small minority of this small minority who are, themselves, zealots whose interpretation of the Second Amendment is such that our dead children are just collateral damage in pursuit of the higher cause of unrestricted gun ownership. But, for most, opposition to even the most rational restrictions is tied to money, specifically to money from the NRA. A staffer for Jimmy Kimmel, Bess Kalb, looked at how much each of the Senators and Congresspeople tweeting their sadness and condolences took from the NRA, noting that “In the 2015-2016 election cycle alone, GOP candidates took $17,385,437 from the NRA,” (quoting a tweet from Republican National Convention chairwoman Ronna Romney McDaniel), and that “This is NOT counting the $21 million given to President Trump.” Another article documents the individual contributions, led by $4.4 million to Thom Tillis (R-NC, or, excuse me, R-NRA).

These legislators, and sadly even the President, when not crying their hypocritical crocodile tears and then voting with the NRA to kill any sort of gun reform, talk instead about the need to focus on mental health. This, by the way, is a good idea; the mental health system in this country is terrible; insurance companies cover it inadequately, those who are not insured and need public facilities find them cut back yearly, and there is no shortage of news stories focusing on a poor mentally-ill person pushed out of a treatment facility found wandering the street, or worse. Our jails and prisons have become our new mental hospitals, documented, for example, in this comprehensive Atlantic article from 2015, “America’s largest mental hospital is a jail”. However, it is not the diagnosed mentally ill who commit these murders and mass murders. Most such murderers do not have a diagnosis, although they probably suffer from “anger management disorder” (not in the current Diagnostic and Statistical Manual for Mental Disorders (DSM-IV), but “intermittent explosive disorder“ will be in DSM-V). This is important because it is the angry who commit these murders. An article in Slate by Laura L. Hayes from 2014,”How to Stop Violence; Mentally ill people aren’t killers. Angry people are”, contains this persuasive data:

80 to 90 percent of murderers had prior police records, in contrast to 15 percent of American adults overall. In a study of domestic murderers, 46 percent of the perpetrators had had a restraining order against them at some time. Family murders are preceded by prior domestic violence more than 90 percent of the time.

Hayes concludes that “Violent crimes are committed by people who lack the skills to modulate anger, express it constructively, and move beyond it.” Sadly, this also describes many of the most virulent opponents of gun control.

If anything could be even more sad than the fact that the mass killing of our children is tacitly endorsed through inaction by our political leaders, it is that it is only one face of the epidemic that is child mortality in the US. This January, Ashish P. Thrakar and colleagues published “Child Mortality In The US and 19 OECD Comparator Nations: A 50-Year Time-Trend Analysis” in the journal Health Affairs. The picture was bleak. The first sentence of their Abstract summarizes their findings: “The United States has poorer child health outcomes than other wealthy nations despite greater per capita spending on health care for children.” Guns are part of it, and the “social determinants of health”, a sanitized way of saying that in the richest country in the world there are millions of children with inadequate food, housing, warmth, safety, healthcare, and educational opportunities, are ultimately the other causes. We may be the richest country in the world, but we are also the most unequal in the developed world, and the increases in the wealth of the top 0.1% does not “trickle down” to those in need.

Indeed, even the outrageous and disproportionate child mortality rates in this country are not the whole story. As I have noted before (Rising white midlife mortality: what are the real causes and solutions?, November 14, 2015; Tom Petty, the opioid epidemic and changing structural inequities in the US, January 23, 2018) the US is the only wealthy country in which mortality rates are rising, a completely shocking finding since, of course, it didn’t used to be true. And this rising mortality is driven by the white non-Hispanic population (although, it must continue to be said, that the absolute mortality rate of minorities, and especially African-Americans, still exceeds that of whites), and more particularly, poor whites.

In a terrific effort to try to explain to the international community what is happening in the US, Steven Woolf recently wrote an editorial for the BMJ, Failing Health of the United States. He notes the causes of the increases in mortality (more than opioids, more than guns, although these are major contributors), provides data, and proposes solutions. “In theory,” he says,

…policy makers would promote education, boost support for children and families, increase wages and economic opportunity for the working class, invest in distressed communities, and strengthen healthcare and behavioral health systems.

Politicians need to address these issues, and they need to be made to do so. By us, the people they are supposed to work for, not the huge money contributors like the NRA. But we can only do this if we stay angry, and stay organized. We cannot heed calls to “not talk about this now” while families are grieving, because it will, based on history, not be very long before it happens again.

It is our job and we must take it on. 

Guns and the Public's Health: what can we do?

 "A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed."

Recognize those words? The Second Amendment to the Constitution of the United States, what all the fuss is about. In addition to the confusing use of commas, apparently more generously applied in the 18^th century, we have two key phrases. The final phrase, “shall not be infringed”, is read by the NRA and other “gun rights” zealots (and it is important to remember that only a minority of NRA members, and a smaller minority of gun owners, support this position) to mean essentially “no legislation regulating guns in any way”. That includes assault rifles, semi-automatic and maybe even automatic rifles, armor-piercing (“cop killer”) bullets, and any other weapon or gun modification that creative minds can come up with. Of course, it has been noted that none of these types of weapons were available at the time of the Constitution, when firearms were muzzle-loaded muskets, quite different from current weapons (see graphic).

The NRA take the position that there is qualitatively no difference, as noted by its President, Wayne LaPierre, after the December 2012 massacre at Sandy Hook Elementary School: "Absolutes do exist. We are as ‘absolutist’ as the Founding Fathers and framers of the Constitution. And we’re proud of it!" Others (including me, in case you were wondering) would disagree, and say that clearly at some point the quantitative difference becomes qualitative. This is the only amendment they are absolutist about; the First Amendment says “Congress shall make no law… abridging the freedom of speech…”, but it has long been settled that it is not OK to yell “Fire!” in a crowded theater.

The other obviously important phrase is “A well regulated Militia”. Again, obviously, this has been the source of much discussion, with the NRA taking the position that “Militia” just means “everyone” (kind of a stretch), and (as far as I can tell) “well regulated” means, um, not regulated at all. Is this cherry picking the words one wants? Maybe, but I can’t imagine how it is possible to ignore completely the words “well regulated”. But does it matter? Yes, when we live in a country where

The 36,252 deaths from firearms in the United States in 2015 exceeded the number of deaths from motor vehicle traffic crashes that year (36,161). That same year, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that 5 people died from terrorism. Since 1968, more individuals in the United States have died from gun violence than in battle during all the wars the country has fought since its inception.

-Bauchner et al., Death by Gun Violence—A Public Health Crisis, JAMA, October 9, 2017[1]

Those are staggering numbers, and certainly justify the assertion that it is a “public health crisis”.

The authors also note that “60.7% of the gun deaths in 2015 in the United States were suicides,” a fact often ignored. That is a majority. A large majority. If it were an election, 60.7% would be considered a landslide. But with guns it is a mudslide of death. I have written before about suicide (e.g, Suicide: What can we say? December 13, 2013, Suicide in doctors and others: remembering and preventing it if we can September 14, 2014, Prevention and the “Trap of Meaning” July 29, 2009) and its impact on myself and my family, with my son’s successful suicide-by-gun at the age of 24. My son, to my knowledge, had never used a gun before his final act. He lived in a state and city with strict gun control laws (some of which, sadly, have been eliminated by the courts). He was nonetheless able to go to another state, buy a carbine (terrific choice! No permit needed, even in those days, like a handgun would require, but short enough to reach the trigger with the barrel in his mouth!), and use it. It would be easier now, in that state and many others.

My son was apparently very committed to this act, and was successful despite some obstacles. But for many, many people it is the availability of guns that make a spur-of-the-moment decision lethal. I have noted before that nearly 95% of suicide attempts by gun are lethal while less than 5% by drug overdose are. My clinical experience is that many suicide survivors do not repeat their attempts (though many do). The successful suicide rate for young adult males in low gun control states is several times higher than in high gun control states. And on and on.

But the epidemic of suicide and murder and mass murders resulting from the easy availability of guns has not changed the legal landscape. After the Las Vegas massacre, there was a small ray of hope that maybe one of the most egregious products the white terrorist Stephen Paddock used, the “bump stocks” that effectively convert semi-automatic to automatic rifles, might be limited; even the NRA voiced some possible support. But never underestimate the cowardice and lack of moral fiber of the Congress; Speaker of the House Paul Ryan has suggested that this be done by regulation rather than legislation. This is absolutely because it will not require any congressperson to actually vote for it and thus be targeted by the zealots in the next election. Hopefully, not literally targeted by guns, but do not forget Gabby Giffords and Steve Scalise!

Dr. Bauchner, who is the editor-in-chief of JAMA, also joined the editors of several of the other most prestigious US medical journals, New England Journal of Medicine, Annals of Internal Medicine, and PLOS Medicine in an editorial that appeared in all their journals (this link is the the NEJM), ‘Firearm-Related Injury and Death — A U.S. Health Care Crisis in Need of Health Care Professionals’.[2] Again, this emphasizes the fact that guns are a public health epidemic in the US, and that there is little likelihood of anything being done at the federal level to stem its carnage. It recognizes that there is a variable response at the state level, with some states going as far as trying to legally prohibit physicians from asking about guns in the home (Florida; since struck down by the courts) while others have had stronger regulations. Many legislatures have also acted to prevent the cities in their states from acting independently to regulate guns in any way. One of the most insane was the state of Arizona suing to prevent the city of Tucson from destroying guns seized from criminals. The legislature mandated that they be sold – thus keeping them on the streets – and the Arizona Supreme Court upheld this, saying state law trumped local ordinances!

Given this situation, the joint editorial suggests that there are many things that physicians can and should do, including (quoted):

·        Educate yourself. Read the background materials and proposals for sensible firearm legislation from health care professional organizations. Make a phone call and write a letter to your local, state, and federal legislators to tell them how you feel about gun control. Now. Don’t wait. And do it again at regular intervals. Attend public meetings with these officials and speak up loudly as a health care professional. Demand answers, commitments, and follow-up. Go to rallies. Join, volunteer for, or donate to organizations fighting for sensible firearm legislation. Ask candidates for public office where they stand and vote for those with stances that mitigate firearm-related injury.

·        Meet with the leaders at your own institutions to discuss how to leverage your organization’s influence with local, state, and federal governments. Don’t let concerns for perceived political consequences get in the way of advocating for the well-being of your patients and the public. Let your community know where your institution stands and what you are doing. Tell the press.

·        Educate yourself about gun safety. Ask your patients if there are guns at home. How are they stored? Are there children or others at risk for harming themselves or others? Direct them to resources to decrease the risk for firearm injury, just as you already do for other health risks. Ask if your patients believe having guns at home makes them safer, despite evidence that they increase the risk for homicide, suicide, and accidents. [this is what the Florida law would have made illegal]

·        Don’t be silent.

The first (JAMA) editorial says:

Guns kill people….the key to reducing firearm deaths in the United States is to understand and reduce exposure to the cause, just like in any epidemic, and in this case that is guns.

The fact is that while physicians have influence and moral authority, so do other health professionals, and, in fact, so do all of us. So the advice must pertain to all of us.

Don’t be silent.

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[1] Bauchner H, Rivara FP, Bonow RO, Death by gun violence—a public health crisis, JAMA online Oct 9, 2017, doi:10.100/jama.2017.16446

[2] Taichman DB, Bauchner H, Drazen JM, Laine C, Peipert L, Firearm-Related Injury and Death — A U.S. Health Care Crisis in Need of Health Care Professionals’, October 9, 2017DOI: 10.1056/NEJMe1713355