Ten years ago, on August 2, 2015, I posted Medicare and Medicaid at 50: Time to include “US” all on the 50th anniversary of Medicare and Medicaid. I lived in Kansas City, and with local pride noted that the legislation was signed by President Lyndon Johnson on July 30, 1965 at the Truman Library in Independence, MO, just outside KC, with President Truman and Mrs. Truman present. They received Medicare cards #1 and #2. There was reason for this symbolism; President Truman had tried to pass a national health insurance program in 1945, but it failed, confronting the shameful opposition of the American Medical Association. In some major ways, his proposed program was more ambitious than even Medicare and Medicaid together would end up being, as it would have covered 85-90% of Americans (it would, however, have been voluntary; opponents could have chosen not to pay in and thus not be covered). In 1946, the Republicans took over Congress and so the proposed legislation was dead, Republicans historically (and currently) opposing anything that benefits most of the American people.
President Lyndon Johnson signing the Medicare and Medicaid Acts with former President Harry Truman at the Truman Library in Independence, MO, in 1965. Ironically, Lyndon Johnson himself never made it to Medicare age, dying in 1973 at age 64.
Medicare provided universal health insurance to seniors, who had previously lived their last years in fear that they would get sick and be bankrupt and unable to afford care, as well as people with some serious disabilities including blindness. Medicaid, a different program funded by a federal-state partnership, with the federal government paying usually more than 50% and up to 90% depending on the average state income, was meant to cover the poorest Americans. Of course, each state set both the eligibility standards (how poor you had to be, and what else you had to be besides poor) and the benefits. And, of course, many states set standards well below the poverty level and provided very limited benefits.
A few years before that 50th anniversary, in 2010, Congress passed, and President Obama signed, the Affordable Care Act, ACA, also known as Obamacare, which significantly expanded access to health coverage. One major component of the law was the establishment of insurance exchanges where individuals who were previously uninsured could purchase health insurance at group rates, which were more affordable than had previously been available to individuals. The other important component allowed states to expand their Medicaid programs to people who made too much money to have previously been eligible. This part was supposed to fill in the gap and cover those who, despite making too much for Medicaid, still were too poor to qualify for the ACA exchanges, and this was a lot of people. Remember, Medicaid did not cover people who were just poor (even really really poor); you had to be, as stated by Dr. Bridget McCandless, the CEO of the Health Care Foundation of Greater Kansas City at that 2015 event, “poor and…”:
Poor and pregnant, poor and the mother of small children, poor and disabled, poor and in a nursing home, poor and – and the tears rolled down her cheeks – a child.
As I have noted before, despite the lying propaganda put out by Republicans before the passage of HR 1 (the “Big Beautiful Bill”) this year, few Medicaid recipients are able-bodied but unemployed childless adults. Most are small children and their mothers or disabled or in nursing homes – and nursing homes, almost all of which are privately and profitably run, account for most of the money spent. By the way, neither Missouri nor Kansas (the other state in the Kansas City region) took the opportunity to expand Medicaid, even though the federal government would have initially paid 100% and after a few years 90% of the cost, so some of its citizens simply continued to suffer and die.
However, despite this, in the opinion of most Republicans in Congress, too many people were getting health care, and it was costing too much money which could otherwise be used for more important projects, mainly cutting taxes on the wealthiest people in this country. This “problem” is being addressed by HR 1, which will, according to the Congressional Budget Office, result in about 11 million people losing Medicaid coverage. Of course, this is denied by some; Vice President J.D. Vance said “Don’t believe every false media report that you’ve heard, because our explicit goal in the Trump administration is to protect people’s healthcare.” You can either believe him just saying that based on no data, or believe the CBO, or you can wait and see. Also, many Congressional Republicans expressed great concern about the bill’s impact on Medicaid, including my Congressman, Juan Ciscomani (AZ-6), but voted for it anyway. Note: voting for a bill with reservations is the same as voting for a bill!
Medicare will also be significantly (negatively) impacted by HR 1, as discussed in detail by the Commonwealth Fund. They address primarily low-income Medicare recipients with disabilities (arguably a particularly vulnerable group!) who have been eligible for assistance programs that help pay their Part B (outpatient) and Part D (drug coverage) premiums. HR 1 makes it possible for states to create additional obstacles to becoming enrolled in these assistance programs. A lot of Republicans have also talked about the tax savings people will get from Medicare payments, but it will not be very much, and benefit few:
Tax changes for people age 65 and older. The law includes a $6,000 annual tax deduction for adults over 65 with taxable incomes up to $75,000 annually ($150,000 for those filing jointly), with smaller deductions for those making up to $175,000 ($250,000 filing jointly) for 2025–2028. Low-income older adults generally do not make enough taxable income to be eligible for the deduction, but the provision could help middle- and higher-income older adults. The CBO has not separately estimated the cost of this deduction. [Commonwealth Fund]
Then there are the rest of us on Medicare. Another major Republican passion is privatizing both Medicare and, indeed, Social Security. Mostly they don’t like to talk about it openly because these are the two most popular programs in the nation, but that is what they are working on. And sometimes one – often a billionaire Cabinet secretary who hasn’t the slightest idea of how regular people live (are there any others?) -- slips up and says just that. In this case it was Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent who told us that the “Trump Accounts” for children were literally a “backdoor” for privatizing Social Security. And they also come in through the front door. The “Medicare Advantage” program is one of the main mechanisms for doing this; it is not Medicare (it takes the Medicare dollars that would provide for your care and pays them to an insurance company that basically puts you in their HMO or PPO) and is only advantageous for some recipients, mostly those who are not too sick. Note that these plans can vary a lot – in general government retirees are in better plans than those from the private sector – but the key issue is that rather than being in Medicare, which has to cover you, you are in a private insurance program which can – and does – often deny your claims, as it does for the non-Medicare insured. (see for example my posts "It was the best of times, it was the worst of times": Threats to the public's health from Medicaid cuts, MAHA, and others, Jun 7, 2025, and Open Enrollment Season for Medicare and Medicare Advantage: What you should know, Oct 7, 2024).
In 1945, under President Truman, the American people needed comprehensive universal health coverage. In 1965, under President Johnson, they still needed it, and some of the most vulnerable Americans, the elderly and poor, got Medicare and Medicaid. In 2010, under President Obama, they still needed it, and got some expansion of coverage from the ACA. In 2025, under President Trump, they need it more than ever, but the coverage that we do have is being deeply eroded.
Meanwhile, the people of every other wealthy country have universal health care, longer lives, and better health outcomes, and it costs them way less! Are we such suckers?
