Once again, the US trails rich countries in health care -- except in cost! Why do we tolerate it?

Sometimes the news is good, sometimes it is bad (too much of the latter!!). Sometimes it is surprising, and sometimes it is not. Often it is more of the same, and sometimes this is surprising because we had thought or hoped that it had changed, preferably for the better, and sometimes it is not surprising because we knew it had not.

A good example of this is international health rankings, in which the US consistently and continually ranks at the bottom of the wealthy nations and has a health status that is in the middle of what are known as “middle income countries”. These are called middle-income because they are better off than the really poor countries, but compared to the US and similar countries, they are poor.  In 2000, the World Health Organization (WHO) published a ranking of health system performance in their member nations, based on 1997 data, in which the US ranked #37 in the world, between Costa Rica and Slovenia, on overall performance. When many were aghast that the US could be like Slovenia, the prime minister of that nation took offense and pointed out that his country had been making significant advances. In the area of Disability Adjusted Life Expectancy (DALE) the US in fact ranked #72! I had reproduced these tables in  US Health Rankings remain low and #Trumpcare will make them worse!, June 18, 2017, and do so again now.

Of course, 1997 is a long time ago. Maybe, since then, we, like Slovenia, have gotten better. Except we haven’t. This is the sadly non-surprising part of the news.

While the WHO has not redone that 2000 survey, in 2017 Bloomberg published its Global Health Index, and, as I said then,

Now, we have new rankings to refer to, the Bloomberg Global HealthIndex from 2017. It would be nice to be able to say that the US had moved up from the 2000 WHO report, but now, at #34 (and still just behind Costa Rica) the change is really insignificant. Slovenia, it might be noted, has moved up, to #27, so maybe their efforts are paying off!

For an ongoing comparison, the Commonwealth Fund publishes a report every few years called “Mirror, Mirror on the Wall” comparing US health outcomes and cost to other high-income countries. I have cited it, in its various editions, on many occasions (Mirror on the Wall: Commonwealth Fund report continues to show US has poor outcomes at high cost, June 26, 2010, ACA: Where are we? And where should we go?, July 27, 2014, US Health Rankings remain low and #Trumpcare will make them worse!, June 18, 2017, Our health system: Not equitable, not effective, and not even efficient. Bad business!, March 24, 2022), and address it in detail in my 2015 book “Health, Medicine and Justice: Designing a fair and equitable health system” (Copernicus). The relative performance and ranking of the other countries varies a bit over the years, but the position of the US at the bottom of the heap, #1 only (and consistently) in cost, and worst in performance, is unchanging. The most recent report, “Mirror, Mirror 2024: A portrait of a failing US health system” has just come out, and the title provides the answer: not good. Not better. Failing. And, probably, failing worse. The study’s conclusion, in the Summary, is:

The U.S. continues to be in a class by itself in the underperformance of its health care sector. While the other nine countries differ in the details of their systems and in their performance on domains, unlike the U.S., they all have found a way to meet their residents’ most basic health care needs, including universal coverage.

Here is the table of rankings:

And, if you prefer a visual portrayal about how much worse the US health system is performing:

But we do lead in spending:

And, logically, trail the pack by a lot in value for dollar spent:

This is the non-surprising non-news. But, while not surprising, it should be very concerning. It’s not getting better, and there is little reason to think that it will, if past performance is a predictor of future performance. And we’re talking more than two decades of consistent past performance. It is not a question of what the fact are, of what is true, no longer if it ever was. The US health system performs terribly as a health (or even medical care) system. Costs are enormously high, outcomes are consistently poor, and we dramatically underperform every other country that has in any way comparable resources (and many, many with far fewer resources). It is incredibly inequitable. See, for example, some of the countries grouped around the US in the 2017 Bloomberg rankings, such as Qatar, Brunei, and Bahrain – countries with money and inequitable distribution. So, the question is why are we not doing anything about it?

The answer simply requires a little re-framing of the data presented above. I, and likely you, see the incredible cost/performance ratio as a negative, something to be addressed and fixed. But all that money that is being spent is going somewhere, and certainly a large amount of it is not going to provide high-quality healthcare. It is going to profits for insurance companies and pharmaceutical companies and the Wall St. investors that own them, and for enormous salaries for the C-suite executives who run them, as well as those in the ostensibly non-profit sector (see Why many nonprofit (wink, wink) hospitals are rolling in money by Elisabeth Rosenthal (Washington Post, July 29, 2024). For them the current system is working very well, thank you, they are getting very rich. Your problem, and mine, is that we think that this system should be about providing high-quality and cost-effective care for the American people, at which it is obviously failing. But if we understand it as a cash-cow for these corporations, as a method for transferring money from the rest of the economy to them, it is working great. And, because it is working so well and they are making so much money and spending a great deal of it contributing to politicians, it is unlikely to change.

Unless YOU make it change.  There is, and has been for decades, a loud and effective rant from the corporations and individuals profiting from your health care dollars and their employees (or shall we say “beneficiaries of their largess”) in the legislative, think tank, and punditry arenas, that the Democratic party, and particularly its progressive wing, are radical socialists who are anti-American. This has been very successful. See above, we have kept to the unique American way of doing things. The one that takes money from you in premiums, co-pays, and deductibles and provides you with poor outcomes. That every other wealthy capitalist country has found a way of delivering higher quality for less money is the evidence that it is possible and will not destroy the country. But it will destroy the conveyor belt that takes your money and puts it into their pockets, and this is a terrifying thought, so that they will do anything to prevent it.

Their tactics include both painting mainstream Democrats who merely want to tinker around the edges of the system as flaming radicals, and funding organizations such as the Heritage Foundation to come up with truly radical proposals like Project 2025 (pdf of the health section here) that would institutionalize the worst, most anti-human practices going on today. The strategy is that if they can get half the country to support politicians who support those policies (whether those voters actually support those policies or not), it moves the center of the discussion to the “right” and means compromise will be much less threatening to them. But much more threatening to you.

People want good healthcare for themselves, for their families, and for their friends. They don’t want to pay ever-more for health insurance only to have the insurers deny their care, often as a matter of routine, when they need it. They deserve, as do the people of other countries, a health system that is intrinsically structured to provide the best possible health care for our people and not to make money for Wall St., big corporations, insurance companies and health systems. We know it can be done as it has been done everywhere else.

Make it the thing you vote for and let your representatives know it; you want health care, as the old saying goes, for people and not for profit!

US Health Rankings remain low and #Trumpcare will make them worse!

On many occasions this blog has made the point that, despite frequently-repeated claims that the US has “the best healthcare in the world”, we do not. This point is also made by dozens of other sources, recently including Kaiser Health News (KHN) editor-in-chief Elisabeth Rosenthal in her book “American Sickness”. In my book, “Health, Medicine and Justice: Designing a fair and equitable health care system”, and in many lectures I have given to physicians and students, I have cited the “37^th in the world”  ranking the US achieved in the comprehensive World Health Organization (WHO) report of 2000. The report’s Table 10, available as a pdf at that site, indeed lists the US as #37 in Overall Performance, just below Costa Rica and just above Slovenia. On an equally telling scale, Performance on Health Level (measured by Disability-Adjusted Life Expectancy, DALE) the US ranked #72, between Argentina and Bhutan. When many US news media led their stories with “Just ahead of Slovenia!”, the Slovenian ambassador took exception, noting that his country was working hard to improve their people's health status.

But, as I also pointed out in my lectures, this table is old, based on 1997 data, and I use it because it is the last time that WHO released such rankings. I supplement it with newer data, such as the Commonwealth Fund’s “Mirror, Mirror on the Wall” from 2014. This compares fewer countries, albeit appropriate, developed, wealthy, OECD countries. In this study, the US also ranks last overall and in many subscales; I have published this graphic before as well.  

Now, we have new rankings to refer to, the Bloomberg Global HealthIndex from 2017. It would be nice to be able to say that the US had moved up from the 2000 WHO report, but now, at #34 (and still just behind Costa Rica) the change is really insignificant. Slovenia, it might be noted, has moved up, to #27, so maybe their efforts are paying off!

Given the recalcitrance of US health status to improvement, it is obviously important to look at the ”why” as well as the “what could be done?”. This is especially now, given that these ranking do not yet reflect any negative impact that may happen through the repeal of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and its replacement by a a Republican plan (#Trumpcare). The contents of the bill that the Senate is currently working on, and which Majority Leader McConnell hopes to bring to a vote by July 4, remain secret not only to the public but also, apparently, to many or most senators. Therefore, the bill passed by the House of Representatives, the American Health Care Act (AHCA) remains our best guide to what the final plan may look like.

And it is not encouraging; the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that 23 million Americans willlose health insurance, about equally from loss of Medicaid expansion and from  cuts to support for the health insurance exchanges set up by ACA. This will unquestionably mean that the overall health status of Americans will go down, both in absolute terms and relative to other nations. Without health insurance, people will not access health care, especially for prevention and “minor” problems (or problems that are not really minor but so far not, or minimally, symptomatic). This means that by the time that their health is so bad that they seek care, they are less likely to survive or do well, and also that the cost of their care will be far higher. This is not a plan to most efficiently use healthcare dollars to maximize the health of the American people.

So what is going on? In a recent blog post (“Pre-existing conditions and profit-taking: the causes of our healthcare problems, May 29, 2017)  I wrote “The AHCA is basically a tax-cut-for-the-1% bill, with the money coming from the health care coverage for the rest of us.” That is true, but the question that still needs to be answered is “why”? Ultimately, it is a question of values: if the goal was to have the best possible health status for the American people, rich or poor, white or black, native born or immigrant, rural or urban, this would not be the system that we have and #Trumpcare would be designed to fix the problems with the ACA, not to exacerbate them. President Trump and the GOP have emphasized, in the campaign and since, that for many the ACA has not made insurance accessible because the premiums are too high. This is a good point, and a solution would be great; unfortunately, the AHCA would make them higher, and price out far more people. The values of the Republican leadership are clearly to maximize tax cuts and other financial benefits to the richest American people and corporations, and this AHCA will do. The perpetrators are not among those at the margins; even those congresspersons and pundits who are not truly wealthy have outstanding health insurance for life, and are certain that they will not be in the marginalized group, and that they will be able to access the “best health care in the world”.

Of course, even when you have great insurance and access to “everything”, it is not always better. Sometimes if you are too well-insured you get too much care, tests and procedures and drugs that can put you at risk of harm. And even in the “best” facilities things don’t always go well – medical errors are common, communication can be poor, and even when there are no screwups bad things can happen. Donald Berwick, head of the Institute for Healthcare Improvement (IHI), and former interim head of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) talks about the US perhaps having the best “rescue care” in the world. But even that is not so good; many IHI initiatives are focused on changing that system to work better, including improvement capability, patient safety, and population health. Anyone who has been sick, or in the hospital, or had a close friend or relative in such a situation recently, can testify to the failings of our health care delivery system even for the well-insured.

So the situation in the US was not good up until now, and will almost certainly get worse with #Trumpcare. Many of the people who will suffer most are those who voted for the President and the GOP members of Congress. Maybe they think that the bad things will not happen to them and their families, but only to “others”.  But they will, and we need to move up in the rankings, to be closer to other OECD countries.

Maybe the solution for the US is not to mimic France, or Italy, or Canada. But whatever the solution is, it has to pass the empiric “does it make our people’s health better?” test. And clearly #Trumpcare will not.

Integrating health systems must be to improve quality, not increase cost

The February 13, 2014 article in the New York Times by Elisabeth Rosenthal, “Apprehensive, many doctors shift to jobs with salaries”, more or less just presents the facts. It notes that the medical placement firm, Merritt Hawkins, says that 64% of jobs this year are salaried as opposed to 11% in 2004, and that it expects it to go up to 75% in the next two years. She cites AMA figures that “…about 60 percent of family doctors and pediatricians, 50 percent of surgeons and 25 percent of surgical subspecialists — such as ophthalmologists and ear, nose and throat surgeons — are employees rather than independent.” In some places it is more dramatic; in Kansas City, there are no longer any cardiologists (a type of internal medicine subspecialist) who are not employed by hospital systems, and oncologists (cancer specialists) are not far behind.

So, is this a good thing? The article suggests yes, but maybe not entirely. It states that “Health economists are nearly unanimous that the United States should move away from fee-for-service payments to doctors, the traditional system where private physicians are paid for each procedure and test,” and I agree, and that “When hospitals gather the right mix of salaried front-line doctors and specialists under one roof, it can yield cost-efficient and coordinated patient care. The Kaiser system in California and Intermountain Healthcare in Utah are considered models for how this can work,” with which I also agree. However, not all health systems are Kaiser or Intermountain Healthcare. The article continues: “But many of the new salaried arrangements have evolved from hospitals looking for new revenues, and could have the opposite effect. For example, when doctors’ practices are bought by a hospital, a colonoscopy or stress test performed in the office can suddenly cost far more because a hospital ‘facility fee’ is tacked on.”

Rosenthal has written about facility fees before, as has Alan Bavley of the Kansas City Star in his “Doctors, Inc.” series (“’Facility fees’ add billions to medical bills”, Dec 29, 2013), and I have commented on it in Changing the structure of health care delivery systems: to benefit the patient, the providers, or the insurers?, January 14, 2014. The new arrangements promise more money, or at least stable incomes, to physicians, and continue to pay the currently-most-highly-paid specialists the most money, with primary care doctors getting less. This is not because hospital systems have anything against primary care, but rather that they are following the money, and these acquisitions have occurred precisely while we are still under fee-for-service reimbursement in most locations. If cardiology or orthopedic or radiologic or neurosurgical procedures bring in great amounts of money to the hospital (“technical fees”) the hospitals like this, and are willing to share some of that money with the doctors to ensure that they keep their patients in their hospital or health system. Primary care does not generate such largesse. Relatively intelligent systems recognize that they need a locked-in “primary care base” to create referrals to their subspecialists, but will pay as little as they can, and demand “high productivity” (which could be seen as “patient churning”), and it is not just primary care: “many doctors on salary are offered bonuses tied to how much billing they generate, which could encourage physicians to order more X-rays and tests.”

Bloomberg News has a more direct take on this phenomenon, stating firmly in an article by Shannon Brownlee and Vikas Saini that “Bigger hospitals mean higher prices, not better care”, February 18, 2014. They cite data from sources such as the Dartmouth Atlas of Health Care, a recent article in Health Affairs[1] which demonstrated that “On average, higher-priced hospitals are bigger, but offer no better quality of care,” and a variety of lawsuits by public agencies (such as the Massachusetts Attorney General) to demonstrate that hospital acquisitions are about market share and control of practices and, ultimately, about money, not quality. “If you think of value as some combination of needed services delivered for the right price, large hospitals are no better than small hospitals on both counts.” As I have written about before, doctors control a lot of costs in the health system, by choosing the tests that they order, deciding whether to admit to the hospital or not, and where they refer. By employing the physicians, hospitals can not only control the latter, but can set criteria requiring physicians to abide by hospital policies on the others. The doctors then become, in the words of this article,  “…another cog in the corporate machine, and many physicians have told us they feel they must skew their medical judgment to keep their jobs.”

This is the nonsense that occurs when things are done piecemeal. Intermountain Health Care and Kaiser are not perfect, but they have used their status as integrated health systems to control costs and increase efficiencies. To the extent that they are also the insurer, it is in their interest to do so. Efforts by the federal government to have others emulate these models through the creation of Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs), without changing the manner of reimbursement, are bound to fail. As Paul Baladian is credited with saying “every system is perfectly designed to get the results that it gets.” If we are getting a system in which hospitals are buying up physician practices so that they can charge insurers, from Medicare to Blue Cross, more; if we are getting a system in which medical decisions are being made in the best financial interests of hospitals rather than the best health interests of patients; if we are getting a system in which we continue to favor some patient over others based upon their income, insurance status, or their type of disease (middle-aged well-insured person who needs a single joint replacement = “good”, older person with multiple chronic medical conditions and “just” Medicare or worse yet uninsured because they are under 65 or undocumented = “bad”), it is because we have perfectly designed it to be so.

Brownlee and Saini offer some suggestions for solutions. They suggest that Medicare expand its “Advance Payment Model,” a program that provides capital to small or rural physician groups, and also particularly about forming multispecialty Accountable Care Organizations driven by primary care.

“Until we give primary-care groups control over what happens to patients, large hospital systems and specialist-dominated groups -- those with greatest access to capital -- will be able to keep raising prices, even as they issue press releases about their plans to control costs and improve care.”

Sounds like a good idea to me. Combine that with a single-payer system that covers everyone, “everybody in, nobody out!” and we may be able to reverse the trend toward higher profit at the expense of lower quality.

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[1] White C, Rechovsky JD, Bond AM, “Understanding Differences Between High- And Low-Price Hospitals: Implications For Efforts To Rein In Costs”, Health Affairs, January 2014 10.1377/hlthaff.2013.0747.

Cui bono? Is healthcare financing about funding providers or caring for patients?

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In a recent blog, GME funding must be targeted to Primary Care, December 10, 2011, I wrote about the fact that the financial interests of hospitals lead them to choose to support residency training positions which are not necessarily (or often, or usually) in those specialties that the nation most needs. I urged that funding from the government for graduate medical education (primarily through supplements to Medicare and Medicaid) include mandates as to the proportions of trainees in different specialties, with a strong emphasis on training more primary care physicians. This is only one area, however, in which the financial incentives to hospitals, and indeed all health providers including physicians, do not always jibe with the healthcare needs of our population.

A recent spate of news articles has discussed changes in the organization and financing of healthcare services. The New York Times recently covered the conflict between the governor of the state of New York, Andrew Cuomo, and the mayor of New York City, regarding the potential conversion of Emblem Health to a for-profit company (Bloomberg Predicts Fair Deal if Health Insurer Gets For-Profit Status, by Thomas Kaplan, December 23, 2011). Cuomo wants it because it could bring as much as $1B in tax revenue to state coffers; Bloomberg is concerned because Emblem is the insurer of the majority of municipal employees and he expects such a move will drive premiums up. But, as the title of the article suggests, he thinks they can work it out. Between them. For the benefit of both the city and state governments. Not, however, for the people insured by Emblem. Emblem was created by a merger of Group Health Insurance (GHI) and Health Insurance Plan (HIP) of Greater New York, two early not-for-profit HMOs, or managed care organizations. Except they were created before either term, HMO or managed care, existed. Back in the 1950s, these were consumer cooperatives, where it was recognized that by cutting out the (for-profit) insurance company middleman, people could have more care for the same money, or the same care for less money. No wonder the majority of city employees enrolled.

Over time, rebranded by the Reagan administration with the new name of “HMO” or managed care, became the de facto standard for US health care coverage. Why Republicans could buy into this vaguely populist or socialist concept was that the new HMOs would increasingly be owned by for-profit insurance companies, which they could literally buy into as shareholders. The savings that came from managing care would now accrue to the insurer, not the patient-owner-members. Many of the long-standing HMOs of the early period (e.g., Los Angeles’ Ross-Loos) were purchased by insurance companies, but there were a few holdouts that remained consumer cooperatives (e.g., Group Health of Seattle and the groups that became Emblem). And then, as we remember, came the consumer backlash against HMOs in the late 1990s, with people furious at the restrictions these organizations put on their access to health care. The mistake, however, was thinking that the problem was the organization of care with requirements for only approved therapies, relatively “closed panels” of doctors and hospitals, and capitated payments. The problem was that they were, and are, mostly owned by for-profit corporations, which increase their profits every time care is denied. This is a very different incentive than when the owners are the patients themselves through a cooperative.

As time went on, even the non-profit HMOs and other non-profit groups like the Blue Cross / Blue Shields that are not part of the for-profit Anthem/Wellpoint, have had to act like for-profits to compete. The advantages have all been for the insurers, which remain very profitable, not for the patients, who find both many of the same restrictions they bridled at in the past, and, in addition, increasing premiums, co-payments, and deductibles. If Emblem becomes for-profit, Michael Bloomberg may be able to work a deal where the city government is spared a major premium increase, but the city workers who are insured by Emblem will not be so lucky. In a typically excellent “Quote of the Day”, Don McCanne, MD, discusses the fact that the National Business Group for Health (NBGH) is predicting major increases in deductibles for all employees. As reported in an article in the Nashville Tennesseean, “High deductible plans on the rise”, by Tom Wilemon, December 27, 2011, “Helen Darling, its [NBGH] president, predicts that by 2016 the majority of all health plans will have high deductibles.” McCanne notes correctly that the members of NBGH are the nation’s largest corporations, mostly Fortune 500 companies, which have historically had the best health insurance coverage for their employees. If these deductibles – the amount a family has to pay out-of-pocket before any insurance coverage kicks in – rise to $1500 a year, it will be much worse for those working for smaller, less prosperous companies.

McCanne also comments on reports from the AMA that Highmark, the large Western Pennsylvania Blue Cross / Blue Shield affiliate, will be purchasing its own health system, where it will be able to profit on both ends, or, at least not pay as much for care. He observes that this will enhance its financial status, but not benefit patients, who will be preferentially locked into care at West Penn. The greatest complaints are from the competing University of Pittsburgh Health System, which believes it will Iose patient revenue from such an arrangement. So the conflict here is between the benefit for one health system versus another. It is not benefit for state versus city government as in the Emblem case, but it is still not about the health of the people. It continues to be about how the money from healthcare is distributed among the various players, including as insurance companies, hospitals and doctors.

My hospital, the University of Kansas Hospital (UKH), has done very well financially. In the most recent “Book of Lists” sent to subscribers to the Kansas City Business Journal (not on line; a copy will cost you $65, or $169.95 for immediate download!), it had the greatest revenue in the Kansas City area, at over $2.5B, more than $1B ahead of #2. The physicians who staff the hospital, faculty of the University of Kansas Medical Center, are seeking a restructuring of the current affiliation agreement to share more of that revenue with the doctors. As one of them, I do not disagree with the concept that the physicians, whose work generates much of the revenue, should share more equally, but, as with West Penn and University of Pittsburgh, this is about who gets what, not about how to provide better healthcare for less money to more people.

Health industry consulting groups, such as the Advisory Board, warn hospitals that there will be major cuts to their income resulting from federal budget cuts and programs such as pay-for-performance (P4P) and “value based purchasing” (this is “value” in the economic sense, that is cheaper, rather than having anything to do with “values”, such as caring for the sick!) Hospitals like UKH worry about whether their up-to-this-point successful strategy of investing in the highest-profit “product lines” such as heart disease and cancer will continue to work in the changing reimbursement system. They sense a pressure, as do physicians, to enter into “health systems”, collaborations, to maximize efficiency and profit (or at least not make much less than they are). There is a certain irony in pressures to re-create the managed care era.

But, because that “re-creation” is still about how hospitals, doctors, and insurers can make money, not about how we can provide the best health care for the most people, it is re-arranging deck chairs on the Titanic. If, when, we hit that proverbial iceberg and the ship goes down, many people will be hurt. Sure, just as on the Titanic, it will be the poor people on the lowest decks who get hit the worst. Then, the middle class. And even some of the rich, and some of the officers will go down. But, if you are a betting person, you bet on the most privileged being the most likely to survive; you would have been right in on the 1912 sinking of the boat, and you’d be right 100 years later in health care.

One day maybe we will develop a health policy that engenders behaviors that are about providing the best health to all of our people.
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